Dallas Mavericks @ Chicago Bulls
2021-11-10 · FINAL
107 – 117
P(away)
35%
P(home)
65%
λ home / away · confidence
109.8 / 104.3 · 41%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- DeMar DeRozanExp 25.4 → 17
Over/Under 24.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.4)
- Luka DoncicExp 25.0 → 20
Over/Under 24.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-5)
- Zach LaVineExp 24.9 → 23
Over/Under 23.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Nikola VucevicExp 14.9 → 18
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Jalen BrunsonExp 14.7 → 12
Over/Under 13.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-2.7)
- Kristaps PorzingisExp 14.7 → 22
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.3)
- Tim Hardaway Jr.Exp 14.0 → 21
Over/Under 13.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+7)
- Lonzo BallExp 12.3 → 21
Over/Under 11.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+8.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Zach LaVine23 PTS
- Kristaps Porzingis22 PTS
- Lonzo Ball21 PTS
- Tim Hardaway Jr.21 PTS
- Luka Doncic20 PTS
- Nikola Vucevic18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Luka DoncicExp 6.6 → 10
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Zach LaVineExp 4.4 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Lonzo BallExp 4.3 → 6
Over/Under 3.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.7)
- Jalen BrunsonExp 4.2 → 7
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Alex CarusoExp 4.1 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Nikola VucevicExp 4.0 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (0)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 3.9 → 6
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Tim Hardaway Jr.Exp 2.2 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Luka Doncic10 AST
- Jalen Brunson7 AST
- DeMar DeRozan6 AST
- Lonzo Ball6 AST
- Nikola Vucevic4 AST
- Zach LaVine3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Alex CarusoExp 1.5 → 6
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+4.5)
- Lonzo BallExp 1.5 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.5)
- Dorian Finney-SmithExp 1.2 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+1.8)
- Luka DoncicExp 1.2 → 4
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- DeMar DeRozanExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Nikola VucevicExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Zach LaVineExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jalen BrunsonExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Alex Caruso6 STL
- Luka Doncic4 STL
- Dorian Finney-Smith3 STL
- Jalen Brunson1 STL
- Lonzo Ball1 STL
- Nikola Vucevic1 STL
Recent form (L5)
DAL
Record: 4-1
PPG 107.8 · Opp PPG 105.6
CHI
Record: 3-2
PPG 111.2 · Opp PPG 105
Head to head
DAL 3–3 CHI · 6 Meetings
