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NBA playoff odds

Each team's chance of making the playoffs, simulated from today's standings through the rest of the regular season — including the full 7-10 play-in tournament, not just a seed cutoff.

East

Team	W-L	Playoff %	Top 6 %	Play-in %	Avg seed
Boston Celtics	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	4.0
Miami Heat	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	2.0
Brooklyn Nets	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	1.0
Philadelphia 76ers	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	3.0
Detroit Pistons	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	5.0
Charlotte Hornets	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	6.0
Atlanta Hawks	0-0	82.7%	0.0%	82.7%	7.3
Indiana Pacers	0-0	75.7%	0.0%	75.7%	7.4
Orlando Magic	0-0	24.1%	0.0%	24.1%	8.0
Cleveland Cavaliers	0-0	17.5%	0.0%	17.5%	8.0
Chicago Bulls	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Milwaukee Bucks	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
New York Knicks	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Toronto Raptors	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Washington Wizards	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

West

Team	W-L	Playoff %	Top 6 %	Play-in %	Avg seed
Dallas Mavericks	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	2.0
Houston Rockets	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	1.0
LA Clippers	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	6.0
Los Angeles Lakers	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	5.0
Utah Jazz	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	4.0
Memphis Grizzlies	0-0	100.0%	100.0%	0.0%	3.0
Sacramento Kings	0-0	82.9%	0.0%	82.9%	7.3
Golden State Warriors	0-0	75.4%	0.0%	75.4%	7.4
Minnesota Timberwolves	0-0	24.7%	0.0%	24.7%	8.0
Phoenix Suns	0-0	17.0%	0.0%	17.0%	8.0
New Orleans Pelicans	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Denver Nuggets	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Portland Trail Blazers	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
San Antonio Spurs	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—
Oklahoma City Thunder	0-0	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	—

How it works

Team strength is an Elo rating (not the detailed per-game model used for daily picks), updated after every simulated result so tomorrow's odds reflect tonight's outcome.
Every remaining game is simulated thousands of times. Seeds 1-6 in each conference qualify directly; seeds 7-10 play through the real play-in bracket (7v8, 9v10, then the loser/winner decider) in every replication.
Playoff % is the share of simulations where a team makes the final 8 — split into Top 6 % (direct) and Play-in % (won through 7-10).

See full model accuracy on the Metrics page →

0 games remaining · 10000 replications per team