Chicago Bulls @ Dallas Mavericks
2026-04-12 · FINAL
128 – 149
P(away)
49%
P(home)
51%
λ home / away · confidence
117.4 / 116.8 · 3%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Cooper FlaggExp 24.4 → 10
Over/Under 23.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-14.4)
- Tre JonesExp 17.9 → 6
Over/Under 16.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-11.9)
- Collin SextonExp 17.4 → 19
Over/Under 16.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+1.6)
- Klay ThompsonExp 14.9 → 12
Over/Under 13.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-2.9)
- Leonard MillerExp 14.6 → 17
Over/Under 13.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Rob DillinghamExp 13.1 → 25
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+11.9)
- Mac McClungExp 13.0 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (0)
- Max ChristieExp 13.0 → 12
Over/Under 11.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-1)
Boxscore leaders
- John Poulakidas28 PTS
- Rob Dillingham25 PTS
- AJ Johnson20 PTS
- Tyler Smith20 PTS
- Collin Sexton19 PTS
- Leonard Miller17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Tre JonesExp 5.9 → 2
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-3.9)
- Ryan NembhardExp 5.9 → 23
Over/Under 4.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (+17.1)
- Cooper FlaggExp 5.3 → 1
Over/Under 4.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-4.3)
- Collin SextonExp 4.1 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-3.1)
- Rob DillinghamExp 2.8 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Over (+2.2)
- Yuki KawamuraExp 2.7 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-1.7)
- Khris MiddletonExp 2.6 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.6)
- Patrick WilliamsExp 2.1 → 5
Over/Under 1.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+2.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Ryan Nembhard23 AST
- Lachlan Olbrich10 AST
- Patrick Williams5 AST
- Rob Dillingham5 AST
- John Poulakidas4 AST
- Mouhamadou Gueye4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Collin SextonExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Cooper FlaggExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Ryan NembhardExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+1)
- Max ChristieExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Tre JonesExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Mac McClungExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Patrick WilliamsExp 0.9 → 3
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Leonard MillerExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Patrick Williams3 STL
- Lachlan Olbrich2 STL
- Mouhamadou Gueye2 STL
- Moussa Cisse2 STL
- Rob Dillingham2 STL
- Ryan Nembhard2 STL
Recent form (L5)
CHI
Record: 2-3
PPG 111.4 · Opp PPG 117.8
DAL
Record: 1-4
PPG 118.2 · Opp PPG 126.6
Head to head
CHI 5–5 DAL · 10 Meetings
