Washington Wizards @ Cleveland Cavaliers
2026-02-11 · FINAL
113 – 138
P(away)
19%
P(home)
81%
λ home / away · confidence
123.7 / 109.7 · 88%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Donovan MitchellExp 28.8 → 30
Over/Under 27.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+1.2)
- James HardenExp 28.0 → 13
Over/Under 27.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-15)
- Kyshawn GeorgeExp 17.1 → 17
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jarrett AllenExp 16.6 → 21
Over/Under 15.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+4.4)
- Tre JohnsonExp 15.8 → 10
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-5.8)
- Jaylon TysonExp 15.3 → 7
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.3)
- Dennis SchroderExp 14.4 → 7
Over/Under 13.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-7.4)
- Bub CarringtonExp 13.9 → 8
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-5.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Sam Merrill32 PTS
- Donovan Mitchell30 PTS
- Jarrett Allen21 PTS
- Kyshawn George17 PTS
- Jamir Watkins16 PTS
- Bilal Coulibaly13 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- James HardenExp 8.9 → 11
Over/Under 7.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+2.1)
- Donovan MitchellExp 7.1 → 5
Over/Under 6.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Dennis SchroderExp 4.8 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Under (-2.8)
- Kyshawn GeorgeExp 4.4 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.4)
- Bub CarringtonExp 4.4 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Craig Porter Jr.Exp 3.7 → 4
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+0.3)
- Jaylon TysonExp 3.0 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2)
- Tyrese ProctorExp 2.7 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Under (-2.7)
Boxscore leaders
- James Harden11 AST
- Donovan Mitchell5 AST
- Sharife Cooper5 AST
- Bub Carrington4 AST
- Craig Porter Jr.4 AST
- Keon Ellis3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Donovan MitchellExp 1.5 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- James HardenExp 1.2 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Craig Porter Jr.Exp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Jamir WatkinsExp 1.1 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Bilal CoulibalyExp 1.0 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+1)
- Kyshawn GeorgeExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (0)
- Will RileyExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Anthony GillExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Justin Champagnie3 STL
- Bilal Coulibaly2 STL
- Craig Porter Jr.2 STL
- Donovan Mitchell2 STL
- Keshon Gilbert2 STL
- Nae'Qwan Tomlin2 STL
Recent form (L5)
WAS
Record: 2-3
PPG 111.4 · Opp PPG 124
CLE
Record: 4-1
PPG 123.6 · Opp PPG 114.2
Head to head
WAS 0–10 CLE · 10 Meetings
