Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz
2025-12-18 · FINAL
143 – 135
P(away)
70%
P(home)
30%
λ home / away · confidence
119.9 / 127.7 · 55%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Luka DoncicExp 33.7 → 45
Over/Under 32.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+11.3)
- Keyonte GeorgeExp 22.5 → 34
Over/Under 21.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+11.5)
- LeBron JamesExp 17.5 → 28
Over/Under 16.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+10.5)
- Rui HachimuraExp 13.3 → 13
Over/Under 12.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Ace BaileyExp 12.5 → 19
Over/Under 11.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.5)
- Brice SensabaughExp 12.2 → 15
Over/Under 11.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+2.8)
- Kyle FilipowskiExp 12.0 → 6
Over/Under 10.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Under (-6)
- Nick Smith Jr.Exp 11.7 → 0
Over/Under 10.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-11.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Luka Doncic45 PTS
- Keyonte George34 PTS
- LeBron James28 PTS
- Ace Bailey19 PTS
- Isaiah Collier18 PTS
- Marcus Smart17 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Luka DoncicExp 9.0 → 14
Over/Under 8.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+5)
- LeBron JamesExp 7.5 → 10
Over/Under 6.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+2.5)
- Keyonte GeorgeExp 7.1 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Isaiah CollierExp 5.2 → 13
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+7.8)
- Walter Clayton Jr.Exp 4.3 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Jusuf NurkicExp 3.9 → 7
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+3.1)
- Marcus SmartExp 2.9 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 78% / 22% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Kyle FilipowskiExp 2.7 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 76% / 24% · Actual Under (-2.7)
Boxscore leaders
- Luka Doncic14 AST
- Isaiah Collier13 AST
- LeBron James10 AST
- Keyonte George8 AST
- Jusuf Nurkic7 AST
- Jake LaRavia4 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Luka DoncicExp 1.5 → 5
Over/Under 0.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (+3.5)
- Marcus SmartExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- LeBron JamesExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jusuf NurkicExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Ace BaileyExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (0)
- Keyonte GeorgeExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Kyle FilipowskiExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-0.8)
- Jake LaRaviaExp 0.8 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Luka Doncic5 STL
- Ace Bailey1 STL
- Jusuf Nurkic1 STL
- LeBron James1 STL
- Marcus Smart1 STL
- Svi Mykhailiuk1 STL
Recent form (L5)
LAL
Record: 3-2
PPG 116.2 · Opp PPG 120
UTA
Record: 2-3
PPG 114 · Opp PPG 128.2
Head to head
LAL 8–2 UTA · 10 Meetings
