Indiana Pacers @ Detroit Pistons
2025-11-17 · FINAL
112 – 127
P(away)
24%
P(home)
76%
λ home / away · confidence
122.0 / 110.8 · 73%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Pascal SiakamExp 24.3 → 29
Over/Under 23.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+4.7)
- Bennedict MathurinExp 21.7 → 25
Over/Under 20.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.3)
- Andrew NembhardExp 20.4 → 15
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-5.4)
- Jalen DurenExp 18.9 → 31
Over/Under 17.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+12.1)
- Jarace WalkerExp 13.2 → 8
Over/Under 12.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-5.2)
- Duncan RobinsonExp 12.3 → 13
Over/Under 11.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Isaiah StewartExp 12.0 → 10
Over/Under 11.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-2)
- Daniss JenkinsExp 11.7 → 26
Over/Under 10.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+14.3)
Boxscore leaders
- Jalen Duren31 PTS
- Pascal Siakam29 PTS
- Daniss Jenkins26 PTS
- Bennedict Mathurin25 PTS
- Javonte Green20 PTS
- Isaiah Jackson16 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Andrew NembhardExp 6.4 → 4
Over/Under 5.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-2.4)
- Pascal SiakamExp 5.3 → 1
Over/Under 4.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-4.3)
- Daniss JenkinsExp 4.1 → 8
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+3.9)
- Caris LeVertExp 3.4 → 8
Over/Under 2.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (+4.6)
- Jarace WalkerExp 3.3 → 1
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.3)
- Bennedict MathurinExp 2.8 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23% · Actual Over (-0.8)
- Ronald Holland IIExp 2.1 → 2
Over/Under 1.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jalen DurenExp 2.1 → 3
Over/Under 1.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Caris LeVert8 AST
- Daniss Jenkins8 AST
- Andrew Nembhard4 AST
- Ben Sheppard4 AST
- Duncan Robinson4 AST
- Isaiah Jackson3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Pascal SiakamExp 1.3 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (-0.3)
- Paul ReedExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Daniss JenkinsExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Javonte GreenExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 68% / 32% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Ronald Holland IIExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Jarace WalkerExp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Bennedict MathurinExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jalen DurenExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
Boxscore leaders
- Duncan Robinson2 STL
- Isaiah Jackson2 STL
- Jarace Walker2 STL
- Javonte Green2 STL
- Ben Sheppard1 STL
- Bennedict Mathurin1 STL
Recent form (L5)
IND
Record: 0-5
PPG 104 · Opp PPG 129
DET
Record: 5-0
PPG 122.2 · Opp PPG 113.6
Head to head
IND 7–3 DET · 10 Meetings
