Houston Rockets @ Memphis Grizzlies
2023-03-24 · FINAL
114 – 151
P(away)
20%
P(home)
80%
λ home / away · confidence
125.1 / 111.7 · 84%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Ja MorantExp 26.9 → 18
Over/Under 25.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-8.9)
- Jalen GreenExp 23.4 → 13
Over/Under 22.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-10.4)
- Desmond BaneExp 21.6 → 25
Over/Under 20.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+3.4)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 21.2 → 18
Over/Under 20.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Under (-3.2)
- Kevin Porter Jr.Exp 19.0 → 20
Over/Under 17.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+1)
- Alperen SengunExp 15.3 → 7
Over/Under 14.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-8.2)
- Jabari Smith Jr.Exp 14.2 → 20
Over/Under 13.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+5.8)
- Dillon BrooksExp 14.1 → 11
Over/Under 13.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Under (-3.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Luke Kennard30 PTS
- Desmond Bane25 PTS
- Tari Eason21 PTS
- Jabari Smith Jr.20 PTS
- Kevin Porter Jr.20 PTS
- Ja Morant18 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Ja MorantExp 8.1 → 8
Over/Under 7.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Tyus JonesExp 6.6 → 9
Over/Under 5.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (+2.4)
- Kevin Porter Jr.Exp 6.6 → 7
Over/Under 5.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (+0.4)
- Desmond BaneExp 4.7 → 1
Over/Under 3.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Under (-3.7)
- Alperen SengunExp 3.9 → 2
Over/Under 2.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.9)
- Jalen GreenExp 3.7 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 72% / 28% · Actual Over (+1.3)
- Jae'Sean TateExp 2.8
Over/Under 1.5: 77% / 23%
- Dillon BrooksExp 2.6 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.6)
Boxscore leaders
- Tyus Jones9 AST
- Ja Morant8 AST
- Kevin Porter Jr.7 AST
- Jalen Green5 AST
- Josh Christopher3 AST
- Kennedy Chandler3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Ja MorantExp 1.3 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 74% / 26% · Actual Under (-1.3)
- Kevin Porter Jr.Exp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 71% / 29% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Xavier TillmanExp 1.1 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.9)
- Alperen SengunExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 65% / 35% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Tyus JonesExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jaren Jackson Jr.Exp 0.9 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Jalen GreenExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Dillon BrooksExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Desmond Bane2 STL
- Jaren Jackson Jr.2 STL
- Kenneth Lofton Jr.2 STL
- Kevin Porter Jr.2 STL
- Xavier Tillman2 STL
- Alperen Sengun1 STL
Recent form (L5)
HOU
Record: 2-3
PPG 113.6 · Opp PPG 118
MEM
Record: 4-1
PPG 124 · Opp PPG 122
Head to head
HOU 2–8 MEM · 10 Meetings
