Philadelphia 76ers @ Milwaukee Bucks
2023-03-04 · FINAL
133 – 130
P(away)
42%
P(home)
58%
λ home / away · confidence
119.1 / 116.0 · 23%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Joel EmbiidExp 30.5 → 31
Over/Under 29.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 27.9 → 34
Over/Under 26.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+6.1)
- James HardenExp 21.1 → 38
Over/Under 20.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Over (+16.9)
- Jrue HolidayExp 20.2 → 26
Over/Under 19.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+5.8)
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 19.3 → 26
Over/Under 18.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Over (+6.7)
- Brook LopezExp 15.8 → 26
Over/Under 14.5: 61% / 39% · Actual Over (+10.2)
- Khris MiddletonExp 13.9 → 6
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-7.9)
- Tobias HarrisExp 12.8 → 3
Over/Under 11.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-9.8)
Boxscore leaders
- James Harden38 PTS
- Giannis Antetokounmpo34 PTS
- Joel Embiid31 PTS
- Brook Lopez26 PTS
- Jrue Holiday26 PTS
- Tyrese Maxey26 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- James HardenExp 9.9 → 10
Over/Under 8.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+0.1)
- Jrue HolidayExp 6.7 → 13
Over/Under 5.5: 66% / 34% · Actual Over (+6.3)
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 4.5: 56% / 44% · Actual Under (-1)
- Joel EmbiidExp 4.1 → 10
Over/Under 3.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+5.9)
- Khris MiddletonExp 4.1 → 2
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-2.1)
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 3.3 → 0
Over/Under 2.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-3.3)
- Tobias HarrisExp 2.2 → 0
Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-2.2)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 2.2 → 1
Over/Under 1.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Under (-1.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Jrue Holiday13 AST
- James Harden10 AST
- Joel Embiid10 AST
- Brook Lopez4 AST
- Giannis Antetokounmpo4 AST
- Grayson Allen3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- James HardenExp 1.2 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 70% / 30% · Actual Over (-0.2)
- Joel EmbiidExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Under (-1)
- Jrue HolidayExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- De'Anthony MeltonExp 1.0 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Under (-1)
- Tobias HarrisExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Tyrese MaxeyExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Giannis AntetokounmpoExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Khris MiddletonExp 0.8 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 54% / 46% · Actual Over (+0.2)
Boxscore leaders
- Georges Niang1 STL
- Giannis Antetokounmpo1 STL
- James Harden1 STL
- Joe Ingles1 STL
- Khris Middleton1 STL
- P.J. Tucker1 STL
Recent form (L5)
PHI
Record: 2-3
PPG 112.2 · Opp PPG 109
MIL
Record: 5-0
PPG 120.2 · Opp PPG 104.2
Head to head
PHI 2–8 MIL · 10 Meetings
