Orlando Magic @ Boston Celtics
2022-12-16 · FINAL
117 – 109
P(away)
35%
P(home)
65%
λ home / away · confidence
116.4 / 110.7 · 43%
Player props
Expected counting stats + over/under
Points
Expected PTS · O/U near projection
- Jayson TatumExp 27.3 → 31
Over/Under 26.5: 55% / 45% · Actual Over (+3.7)
- Jaylen BrownExp 25.8 → 26
Over/Under 24.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+0.2)
- Paolo BancheroExp 20.4 → 20
Over/Under 19.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Franz WagnerExp 20.1 → 19
Over/Under 19.5: 53% / 47% · Actual Under (-1.1)
- Wendell Carter Jr.Exp 17.1
Over/Under 16.5: 54% / 46%
- Jalen SuggsExp 13.9
Over/Under 12.5: 63% / 37%
- Malcolm BrogdonExp 13.5 → 15
Over/Under 12.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Over (+1.5)
- Cole AnthonyExp 12.9 → 14
Over/Under 11.5: 63% / 37% · Actual Over (+1.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum31 PTS
- Jaylen Brown26 PTS
- Moritz Wagner25 PTS
- Paolo Banchero20 PTS
- Franz Wagner19 PTS
- Malcolm Brogdon15 PTS
Assists
Expected AST · O/U near projection
- Marcus SmartExp 7.5 → 8
Over/Under 6.5: 62% / 38% · Actual Over (+0.5)
- Jalen SuggsExp 5.3
Over/Under 4.5: 62% / 38%
- Markelle FultzExp 5.0 → 4
Over/Under 3.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-1)
- Jayson TatumExp 4.2 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 60% / 40% · Actual Under (-1.2)
- Malcolm BrogdonExp 4.1 → 0
Over/Under 3.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Under (-4.1)
- Jaylen BrownExp 4.0 → 3
Over/Under 3.5: 57% / 43% · Actual Under (-1)
- Paolo BancheroExp 3.9 → 5
Over/Under 2.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (+1.1)
- Cole AnthonyExp 3.8 → 3
Over/Under 2.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (-0.8)
Boxscore leaders
- Marcus Smart8 AST
- Paolo Banchero5 AST
- Markelle Fultz4 AST
- Cole Anthony3 AST
- Jaylen Brown3 AST
- Jayson Tatum3 AST
Steals
Expected STL · O/U near projection
- Marcus SmartExp 1.4 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 75% / 25% · Actual Over (-0.4)
- Jayson TatumExp 1.3 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 73% / 27% · Actual Over (+0.7)
- Jalen SuggsExp 1.2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31%
- Markelle FultzExp 1.2 → 2
Over/Under 0.5: 69% / 31% · Actual Over (+0.8)
- Jaylen BrownExp 1.1 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 67% / 33% · Actual Over (-0.1)
- Paolo BancheroExp 1.0 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 64% / 36% · Actual Over (0)
- Cole AnthonyExp 0.9 → 0
Over/Under 0.5: 59% / 41% · Actual Under (-0.9)
- Grant WilliamsExp 0.9 → 1
Over/Under 0.5: 58% / 42% · Actual Over (+0.1)
Boxscore leaders
- Jayson Tatum2 STL
- Malcolm Brogdon2 STL
- Markelle Fultz2 STL
- Derrick White1 STL
- Grant Williams1 STL
- Jaylen Brown1 STL
Recent form (L5)
ORL
Record: 4-1
PPG 115.4 · Opp PPG 110.4
BOS
Record: 3-2
PPG 112.6 · Opp PPG 112.4
Head to head
ORL 1–9 BOS · 10 Meetings
